Sunday, May 24, 2020

OCBC 2019 & Q1 2020


2019 - 5 Years Financial Highlights



OCBC Group Performance Q1'20
Revenue $2,490 - 7% yoy, -15% qoq
Operating profit before allowance - 12% yoy & qoq
Net profit -43% yoy, -44% qoq

Banking
Revenue $2,373M  +7% yoy, - 4% qoq
Operating profit before allowance + 8% yoy, +3% qoq
Net profit -28% yoy, -22% qoq due to increase in allowance.

Great Eastern
Revenue $69M  -82% yoy, - 78% qoq
Operating profit before allowance -90% yoy, -88% qoq
Net profit -94% yoy, -92% qoq due to unrealised MTM lossess.

Management Statement Q1'20
OCBC well-positioned for this unprecedented crisis

Extent of economic fallout very uncertain, recovery unlikely until 2021 at earliest; watchful of impact to near-term earnings growth 

Maintain long-term strategy; well-diversified franchise with strong capital, liquidity and funding position 

Confident of OCBC’s strong track record of delivering sustainable earnings over economic cycles 

Ex-FX impact, loan growth to be muted; will continue to pro-actively support customers

Shore up allowances with forward-looking MEVs to recognise uncertain operating environment 

Overall cumulative credit costs over the next two years estimated to be between 100-130bps, higher than GFC, close to SARS but lower than AFC. Variance depends on effectiveness of the relief programmes and the duration of suspension of business activities across the region 

Remain vigilant of vulnerable sectors. Near-term economic weakness and uncertainty to raise NPL ratio to between 2.5% to 3.5%; NPL ratio reflects extent of projected effect of government relief measures

NIM compression expected in subsequent quarters from full effect of rate cuts; focus on asset composition and CASA deposits 

Cost management to be further tightened and managed in line with revenue expectations 

Monitor market developments closely to assess dividend payment; share buybacks suspended, priority to support customers and franchise during this pandemic




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